Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000299 0.000335 0.000373 0.000418 0.000469 0.000525 0.000591
2025-01-19 0.000222 0.000270 0.000326 0.000398 0.000488 0.000597 0.000741
2025-01-26 0.000186 0.000240 0.000309 0.000403 0.000529 0.000694 0.000929
2025-02-02 0.000167 0.000227 0.000306 0.000421 0.000586 0.000816 0.001168
2025-02-09 0.000146 0.000206 0.000289 0.000416 0.000608 0.000890 0.001348
2025-02-16 0.000132 0.000192 0.000280 0.000420 0.000640 0.000982 0.001567
2025-02-23 0.000118 0.000178 0.000268 0.000416 0.000659 0.001054 0.001765
2025-03-02 0.000109 0.000168 0.000261 0.000419 0.000689 0.001146 0.002008
2025-03-09 0.000100 0.000159 0.000252 0.000418 0.000711 0.001227 0.002245
2025-03-16 0.000089 0.000144 0.000235 0.000399 0.000699 0.001245 0.002366
2025-03-23 0.000083 0.000137 0.000230 0.000401 0.000725 0.001336 0.002642
2025-03-30 0.000080 0.000136 0.000233 0.000418 0.000781 0.001491 0.003076
2025-04-06 0.000073 0.000127 0.000222 0.000410 0.000787 0.001552 0.003330
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000116 0.000207 0.000390 0.000769 0.001563 0.003476
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000111 0.000203 0.000394 0.000801 0.001684 0.003905
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000111 0.000207 0.000412 0.000866 0.001887 0.004575
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000105 0.000200 0.000408 0.000879 0.001974 0.004969
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000101 0.000197 0.000411 0.000911 0.002111 0.005527
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000097 0.000191 0.000407 0.000925 0.002207 0.005991
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000093 0.000188 0.000410 0.000956 0.002349 0.006623
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000090 0.000184 0.000409 0.000977 0.002470 0.007219
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000083 0.000173 0.000390 0.000951 0.002458 0.007398
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000081 0.000170 0.000393 0.000979 0.002603 0.008123